Productivity: A Hidden Engine of Growth in Philippine Remittance Inflows under Gravity Model (Pre-Pandemic Period)

Authors

  • Maria Jessica Navarro University of Santo Tomas, Philippines
  • Nicole Anne Peñafiel University of Santo Tomas, Philippines
  • Ederliza Magpantay University of Santo Tomas, Philippines

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5555/ijosmas.v4i2.298

Keywords:

remittance, gravity model, Philippines

Abstract

As the primary source of income for the Philippines, remittances have increased in the past few years. This study employed the gravity model to determine the extent of the definition of the gravitational and controlled variables of remittances. This study is the first in the literature to examine remittances in the Philippines using the gravity model. Using data from 15 key host nations from 1996 to 2017, panel least squares data with a fixed effect model was adopted using the Housman test to tackle the time-invariant problem. The analysis found that the GDP of the sending country, population, and labor productivity are statistically significant and positively affect the remittance inflow in the Philippines. Whereas distance, the GDP of the recipient country, migrant stock, and political stability are statistically insignificant factors in the remittance inflow into the Philippines.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Asian Development Bank. 2022. COVID-19 and Overseas Filipino Workers Return Migration and Reintegration into the Home Country—the Philippine Case. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/767846/sewp-021-covid-19-ofws-return-migration-reintegration.pdf

Asian Development Bank. 2009. Remittances and Household Behavior in the Philippines. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/28401/economics-wp188.pdf

ADBI. 2019. Determinants of International Remittance Inflows in Middle Income Countries in Asia and the Pacific. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/506406/adbi-wp964.pdf

ADB. 2008. Remittances and the Brain Drain: Skilled Migrants Do Remit Less. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/28226/economics-wp126.pdf

ADB. 2009. Remittances in Asia: Implications for the Fight against Poverty and the Pursuit of Economic Growth. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/28397/economics-wp182.pdf

Ahmed et al., 2021. Sending money home: Transaction cost and remittances to developing countries. Retrieved from https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/twec.13110

Ahmed et al., 2014. What drives bilateral remittances to Pakistan? A gravity model approach. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/cegedp/209.html

Akter, S. 2018. Impact of remittance on domestic labour productivity in Bangladesh. Retrieved from https://www.banglajol.info/index.php/PA/article/view/37478/25392

Atminaitė, G. 2015. Political Instability in Developing Countries: The Effect on Remittance Inflows. Retrieved from https://vb.ism.lt

Ang et al., 2009. Remittances and Household Behavior in the Philippines. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/28401/economics-wp188.pdf

Baltagi, H. (2005). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. 3rd Ed. West Sussex: John Wiley and Sons Ltd

Borjas, G. 1999. Immigration and Welfare Magnets. Retrieved from https://econpapers.repec.org/article/ucpjlabec/v_3a17_3ay_3a1999_3ai_3a4_3ap_3a607-37.htm

Beugelsdijk, S., Ambos, B. & Nell, P.C. Conceptualizing and measuring distance in international business research: Recurring questions and best practice guidelines. J Int Bus Stud 49, 1113–1137 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41267-018-0182-

Business World. 2021. Remittance inflows likely to pick up ‘modestly’ this year. Retrieved from https://www.bworldonline.com/top-stories/2021/05/14/368234/remittance-inflows-likely-to-pick-up-modestly-this-year/

Carr & Davis. 2010. The effects of migrant remittances on population–environment dynamics in migrant origin areas: international migration, fertility, and consumption in highland Guatemala. Retrieved from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3003829/

Commission on Filipino Overseas. 2022. Stock Estimates of Overseas Filipinos. Retrieved from https://cfo.gov.ph/yearly-stock-estimation-of-overseas-filipinos/

Department of Labor and Employment. 2019. OWWA to OFWs: save more, spend less. Retrieved from https://www.dole.gov.ph/news/owwa-to-ofws-save-more-spend-less/

Department of Science and Technology. 2015. Migration of Science and Technology Human Resources: Temporary and Permanent Migrants. Retrieved from https://www.sei.dost.gov.ph/images/downloads/migrationvol3.pdf

Dorantes, C. n.d. The good and the bad in remittance flows. Retrieved from https://wol.iza.org/articles/good-and-bad-in-remittance-flows/long

Dynan, K. 2018. GDP as a Measure of Economic Well-being. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/08/WP43-8.23.18.pdf

Duan & Lu. 2018. The Revelation of Philippine Labor Exporting Experiences in the Context of the Belt and Road. Retrieved from https://www.atlantispress.com/proceedings/isbcd-18/25900752

Duval & Sousa. 2013. Geographic distance and remittances in Romania: Out of sight, out of mind?. Retrieved from https://www.cairn.info/revue-economie-internationale-2010-1-page-81.htm

Francois et al., 2022. Remittances Increase GDP with Potential Differential Impacts Across Countries. Retrieved from https://blogs.worldbank.org/peoplemove/remittances-increase-gdp-potential-differential-impacts-across-countries

Hartarto & Mataram. 2018. Testing the gravity model of remittances inflow: The case of Indonesia. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/349250107_TESTING_THE_GRAVITY_MODEL_OF_REMITANCE_INFLOWS_THE_CASE_OF_INDONESIA_1

Hausman, J. (11/1978). Specification Test in Econometrics. Econometrica Vol. 46 No. 6.

Heaton TB, Huntsman TJ, Flake DF. The effect of status on women’s autonomy in Bolivia, Peru and Nicaragua. Population Research and Policy Review. 2005;24(3):283–300. doi: 10.1007/s11113-005-4082-5. [CrossRef] [Google Scholar]

Huang & Vargas. 2005. Macroeconomic Determinants of Workers’ Remittances: Host vs. Home Country’s Economic Conditions. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/23745556_Macroeconomic_Determinants_of_Workers'_Remittances_Host_vs_Home_Country's_Economic_Conditions

International Labor Organization. N.d. Labour productivity. Retrieved from https://ilostat.ilo.org/resources/concepts-and-definitions/description-competitiveness-indicators/

International Monetary Fund. 2022. Gross Domestic Product: An Economy’s All. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/basics/gdp.htm

IMF. 2009. International Transactions in Remittances: Guide for Compilers and Users. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/bop/2008/rcg/pdf/ch2.pdf

Issahaku & Ustarz. 2017. International Migrant Remittance and Productivity Growth in Ghana. Retrieved from https://www.ajol.info/index.php/gjds/article/view/162111

Jiménez, E. (2013). Introduction to Econometrics. Retrieved from https://www.uv.es/uriel/Chapter%206%20Slides.pdf

Jones, C.I. 2016. The Facts of Economic Growth. Retrieved from https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/facts.pdf

Lim, S. & Morshed, A.K.M. 2014. International migration, migrant stock, and remittances: Reexamining the motivations to remit. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1062976914000805

Mathy, G. 2016. Expectations and Forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-Time Evidence from the Business Press. Retrieved from https://www2.gwu.edu/~forcpgm/2016-011.pdf

Mamun et al., 2015. Remittance and domestic labor productivity: Evidence from remittance recipient countries. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0264999315000413

Marimoutou et al., 2010. The ”distance-varying” gravity model in international economics: is the distance an obstacle to trade?. Retrieved from https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00536127/document

Mazumder, S. 2018. Determinants of Remittances: A Study in Cachar District of Assam. Retrieved from https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0972150918811524

Meyer, D & Shera, A. 2016. The impact of remittances on economic growth: An econometric model. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1517758016300753

Montgomery, D., Peck, E., & Vining, G. (2001). Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis. Wiley, New York. 3rd Edition.

Mundlak. (1978). On The Pooling of Time Series and Cross Section Data. Econometri, 46(1). 69-85.

Nayef. 2022. Economic and Political Drivers of Remittance Transfer. Retrieved from https://sciendo.com/pdf/10.2478/jeb-2022-0004

Naufal & Genc. 2017. Impact of Remittance Outflows on Sending Economies. The Case of the Russian Federation. Retrieved from https://www.unescap.org/sites/default/files/Day%201.5%20-%20Impact%20of%20Remittance%20Outflows.pdf

Nikkei Asia. 2022. Philippines 'modern-day heroes' sent record remittances last year. Retrieved from https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Philippines-modern-day-heroes-sent-record-remittances-last-yr

OECD. 2006. International Migrant Remittances and their Role in Development. Retrieved from https://www.oecd.org/els/mig/38840502.pdf

Oregon State University. N.d. Pangaea to the Present Lesson #2. Retrieved from https://volcano.oregonstate.edu/pangaea-present-lesson-2#:~:text=About%20180%20million%20years%20ago,upper%20zone%20of%20the%20mantle

Philippine Statistic Authority. 2020. Domestic Remittances are Just as Important as International Remittances (Results from the 2018 National Migration Survey). Retrieved from https://psa.gov.ph/content/domestic-remittances-are-just-important-international-remittances-results-2018-national

Philippine Statistics Authority. 2017. Migrant Stock. Retrieved from https://psa.gov.ph/content/migrant-stock-1

Philippine Statistics Authority. 2022. 2020 Overseas Filipino Workers (Final Results). Retrieved from https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/survey/labor-and-employment/survey-overseas-filipinos

Philippine Statistics Authority. 2023. PH posts highest GDP growth in 46 years as PBBM steers country toward recovery. Retrieved from https://pia.gov.ph/press-releases/2023/01/26/ph-posts-highest-gdp-growth-in-46-years-as-pbbm-steers-country-toward-recovery

Pierce, D. 1975. "Forecasting in Dynamic Models with Stochastic Regressors,' Journal of Econometrics, vol. 3, pp. 349-74.

Ramirez,M. 2017. Do Remittances Promote Labor Productivity Growth in Mexico? An Empirical Analysis, 1970-2014. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/tri/wpaper/1702.html

Radu, M. 00115 Political Stability - A Condition for Sustainable Growth in Romania?. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212567115013246

Santos, A. 2014. Where in the world are the Filipinos?. Retrieved from https://www.rappler.com/moveph/60705-filipinos-ofws-world-infographic/

Seriño, N. 2012. Effects of International Remittances on the Philippine Economy: A Cointegration Analysis. https://www.dlsu.edu.ph/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/EffectsofInternationalRemittancesonthePhilippineEconomy_ACointegrationAnalysis.pdf

Stampfli & Verard. 2013. The formation of Pangea. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/241002325_The_formation_of_Pangea

Tan, E. 2019. Prospects of Philippine Migration. Retrieved from https://econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/1521

Technical Education and Skills Development Authority. 2022. TESDA LURES OFWS TO ENROLL IN TRAINING, LIVELIHOOD COURSES ONLINE. Retrieved from https://www.tesda.gov.ph/Media/NewsDetail/20168

The World Bank. 2018. Political stability and absence of violence/terrorism. Retrieved from https://tcdata360.worldbank.org/indicators/b89c1cd1?country=PHL&indicator=40270&viz=line_chart&years=2013,2018

Trading Economics. 2022. Philippines - International Migrant Stock, Total. Retrieved from https://tradingeconomics.com/philippines/international-migrant-stock-total-wb-data.html

orld Bank. N.d. Metadata Glossary. Retrieved from https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/jobs/series/SM.POP.TOTL.ZS#:~:text=Short%20definition,that%20in%20which%20they%20live

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) (2009). Trends in the International Migrant Stock: The 2008 Revision. UN DESA, Population Division, New York.

Villar. 2021. Economic growth and political stability. Retrieved from https://businessmirror.com.ph/2021/11/29/economic-growth-and-political-stability/

Wooldridge, J. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data.

Wooldridge, J. (2012). Introductory Econometrics a Modern Approach. Retrieved from https://economics.ut.ac.ir/documents/3030266/14100645/Jeffrey_M._Wooldridge_Introductory_Econometrics_A_Modern_Approach__2012.pdf

Xinhua. 2022. Philippine remittances hit all-time high in 2021. Retrieved from https://english.news.cn/asiapacific/20220215/4d554216a61747819562fc9b217ee638/c.html

Yang et al,. 2022. The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Migrant Remittances in the Philippines. Retrieved from https://g2lm-lic.iza.org/publications/pb/the-impact-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-on-migrant-remittances-in-the-philippines/

Yoshino, N., Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., & Otsuka, M. 2019. Determinants of International Remittance Inflows in Middle-Income Countries in Asia and the Pacific. Retrieved from https://www.adb.org/publications/determinants-international-remittance-inflows-asia-pacific

Published

2023-04-14

How to Cite

Navarro, M. J. ., Peñafiel, N. A., & Magpantay, E. . (2023). Productivity: A Hidden Engine of Growth in Philippine Remittance Inflows under Gravity Model (Pre-Pandemic Period). International Journal of Social and Management Studies, 4(2), 141–154. https://doi.org/10.5555/ijosmas.v4i2.298

Issue

Section

Articles