The Relationship Between Rural-Urban Migration and the Agricultural Output of the Philippines
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5555/ijosmas.v3i1.88Keywords:
Total agricultural output, Rural-urban migration, Average agricultural wage, Number of employed people in agriculture, Inflation rateAbstract
This paper explored the relationship of rural-urban migration to the total agricultural output in the Philippines. The researchers wanted to know if there is a relationship between the independent variables: rural-urban migration, average agricultural wage, number of employed people in agriculture, and inflation rate, and the dependent variable, which is agricultural output, and how these explanatory variables affect the dependent variable. Data used are from the years 1988 - 2018. The researchers used a quantitative research design and multiple regression to find out the relationship between the dependent and independent variables. The findings of the study answer the purpose of this paper. It has been found that the relationship between rural-urban migration and the total agricultural output of the Philippines has a negative relationship. Other results showed that the number of people employed in agriculture and average agricultural wage have a positive effect on the country’s total agricultural output while inflation rate has a negative effect. Creating more opportunities for people living in rural areas and strengthening the institutional and governance in the agricultural sector can not only lessen the internal migration but also improve the country’s economy.
Downloads
References
Adepoju, A. (2003, March 19). Continuity and Changing Configurations of Migration to and from the Republic of South Africa. Retrieved 2021, from https://www.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1468-2435.00228
Afolabi, M. O. (2007, January 1). Rural-urban migration and productivity in the Nigerian agricultural sector. CORE Reader. https://core.ac.uk/reader/56366750
Barton, G. (1948). Increased Productivity of the Farm Worker. Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 1(2), 264-282. doi:10.2307/2518891
Biazon, R. F. (2016, July 19). Seventeenth Congress. House of Representatives. https://www.congress.gov.ph/legisdocs/basic_17/HB01718.pdf
Brennan, D., Petersen, E., Que, N., & Vanzetti, D. (2012). Rural-Urban Migration and Vietnamese Agriculture. Retrieved 2021, from
Briones, R. M., (2020). Philippine Agriculture to 2020: Threats and Opportunities from Global Trade EconStor: Philippine Agriculture to 2020: Threats and Opportunities from Global Trade
Chaudry, I.S., Ayyoub, M.., & Imran, F. (2013). Does Inflation Matter for Sectoral Growth in Pakistan? An Empirical Analysis. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 51(1), 71–92. http://www.jstor.org/stable/24398828
Cosrojas, K. D., & Eguia, R. E. (2021). Industry concentration and growth in Philippine Agriculture. Agricultural Social Economic Journal, 21(1), 15–24. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.agrise.2021.021.1.3
De Brauw, A. (2017). Rural-urban migration and implications for rural production. Bio-Based and Applied Economics, 6(3), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.13128/BAE-23338
Economic Policy Institute. (2021). The Productivity–Pay Gap. https://www.epi.org/productivity-pay-gap/#:%7E:text=Rising%20productivity%20provides%20the%20potential,pay%20for%20the%20vast%20majority.&text=Without%20such%20policies%2C%20efforts%20to,to%20lift%20typical%20workers%27%20wages.
Emran, S., & Shilpi, F. (2014). Agricultural Productivity, Hired Labor, Wages and Poverty: Evidence from Bangladesh. SSRN Electronic Journal. Published. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2485946
Eze, B. U., & Olumide, O. O. (2017). “Evaluating The Impacts of Rural-Urban Migration On Agricultural Productivity In Akoko South West Local Government Area Of Ondo State, South Western Nigeria.” Journal of Social Science and Economic Research, 2(5), 1–15. https://ijsser.org/uploads/ijsser_02__207.pdf
Ezeala-Harrison, F. (2004). Analysis of Wage Formation Processes in Rural Agriculture. The Journal of Developing Areas Vol. 38, No. 1 (Autumn, 2004). Retrieved December 15, 2021, from https://www.jstor.org/stable/20066695
Goldsmith, P. D., Gunjal, K., & Ndarishikanye, B. (2004). Rural-urban migration and agricultural productivity: the case of Senegal. Agricultural Economics, 31(1), 33–45. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2004.tb00220.x
Gollin, D., Lagakos, D., & Waugh, M. (2013, November). The Agricultural Productivity Gap. NBER Working Paper Series. Retrieved December 15, 2021, from https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w19628/w19628.pdf
Guo, G., Wen, Q., & Zhu, J. (2015). The Impact of Aging Agricultural Labor Population on Farmland Output: From the Perspective of Farmer Preferences. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2015, 1–7. https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/730618
Habito, C., Briones, R., (2015). Philippine Agriculture over the Years: Performance, Policies and Pitfalls. Philippine Agriculture Through the Years: (researchgate.net)
Imran, M , Bakhsh, K , Hassan, S . (2016). Rural to urban migration and crop productivity: evidence from Pakistani Punjab . Mediterranean Agricultural Sciences , 29 (1) , 0-0 . Retrieved from https://dergipark.org.tr/en/pub/mediterranean/issue/31214/339631
Irz, X., Wiggins, S., & Thirtle, C. (2001). Agricultural Productivity Growth and Poverty Alleviation. Development Policy Review, 2001, 19 (4): 449-466. Retrieved December 15, 2021, from http://library.fes.de/libalt/journals/swetsfulltext/12093119.pdf
Ivanov, B. (2017). The Role of Agriculture for Income and Employment in Bulgarian Rural Areas. SSRN. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3104614
Katovich, E. S. & Maia, A. G. (2018). The relation between labor productivity and wages in Brazil: a sectoral analysis. SciELO. http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-63512018000100007
Lawal, A., & Okeowo, T. (2014). Effects of Rural Urban Migration on Labour Supply in Cocoa Production in Ondo East Local Government Area of Ondo State. International Letters of Natural Sciences, 18, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.18052/www.scipress.com/ilns.18.1
Liu, K. (2011). Impact of Rural-to-Urban Migration on Agricultural Commodity Inflation in China. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1–40. https://www.econ.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/liu_kan.pdf
Lubang, S. A. (2020, July 16). Towards Liberation from Debts of Filipino Farmers. FFTC Agricultural Policy Platform (FFTC-AP). https://ap.fftc.org.tw/article/643
Marta, J., Fauzi, A., Juanda, B., & Rustiadi, E. (2020). Understanding migration motives and its impact on household welfare: evidence from rural–urban migration in Indonesia. Regional Studies, Regional Science, 7(1), 118–132. https://doi.org/10.1080/21681376.2020.1746194
Martin, I., Nori, M., & Bacchi, A. (2017). Effects of Youth Migration on Agricultural Production and Employment in the Rural Areas of Origin in Tunisia. Journal in Economics and Politics of Migration, 1–23. https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/263007/files/Bacchi_AIEAA_2017.pdf
Mawejje, J., & Lwanga, M. M. (2016). Inflation dynamics and agricultural supply shocks in Uganda. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 7(4), 547–567. https://doi.org/10.1108/ajems-07-2015-0079
Mechri, A., Lys, P., & Cachia, F. (2017, Februaryfoo). Productivity and Efficiency Measurement in Agriculture. Retrieved December 15, 2021, from https://www.fao.org/3/ca6428en/ca6428en.pdf
Mgbakor, M., Uzendu, P. O., & Usifo, I. J. (2014). Effects Of Rural–Urban Migration By Youths On Agricultural Labour In Aniocha South Local Government Area of Delta State, Nigeria. Journal of Research in Agriculture and Animal Science, 2(6), 14–22. http://www.questjournals.org/jraas/papers/vol2-issue6/D261422.pdf
Michaelsen, M. M., & Haisken-DeNew, J. P. (2015, November 13). Migration magnet: The role of work experience in rural–urban wage differentials - IZA journal of development and migration. SpringerOpen. Retrieved December 15, 2021, from https://izajodm.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40176-015-0046-7
Moses, L. A., Guogping, X., & John, L. C. (2017). Causes and consequences of rural-urban migration: The case of juba metropolitan, republic of south sudan. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 81, 012130. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/81/1/012130
Narayan, P. K. (2011, April 1). Do Remittances Induce Inflation? Fresh Evidence from Developing Countries. Wiley Online Library. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.4284/0038-4038-77.4.914
Nolte, K., & Ostermeier, M. (2017). Labour Market Effects of Large-Scale Agricultural Investment: Conceptual Considerations and Estimated Employment Effects. World Development, 98, 430–446. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.05.012
Ofuoku, A. (2015). Effect of rural-urban migrants’ remittances on arable crop production in Delta State, Nigeria. Journal of Agricultural Sciences, Belgrade, 60(1), 49–59. https://doi.org/10.2298/jas1501049o
Ofuoku, Albert, and Christopher Chukwuji. 2007. "The Impact of Rural-Urban Migration on Plantation Agriculture in the Niger Delta Region, Nigeria." Journal of Rural Social Sciences, 27(1): Article 6. Available at: https://egrove.olemiss.edu/jrss/vol27/iss1/6
Olatunji, G., Omotesho, O., Ayinde, O., & Adewumi, M. (2012). Empirical Analysis of Agricultural Production And Inflation Rate In Nigeria (1970- 2006). Agrosearch, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.4314/agrosh.v12i1.2
Omodero, C. O. (2021). Sustainable Agriculture, Food Production and Poverty Lessening in Nigeria. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 16(1), 81–87. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.160108
Onegina, V., Megits, N., Antoshchenkova, V., & Boblovskyi, O. (2020). Outcome of capital investment on labor productivity in agriculture sector of Ukraine. Journal of Eastern European and Central Asian Research (JEECAR), 7(1), 12–25. https://doi.org/10.15549/jeecar.v7i1.355
Pawlak, K., & Kołodziejczak, M. (2020a). The Role of Agriculture in Ensuring Food Security in Developing Countries: Considerations in the Context of the Problem of Sustainable Food Production. Sustainability, 12(13), 5488. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12135488
Qamar, M. K. (2012). Global Forum for Rural Advisory Services. https://www.g-fras.org/en/world-wide-extension-study/94-world-wide-extension-study/asia/south-eastern-asia/316-philippines.html?fbclid=IwAR0sfAHquX6rLk3Ybs8jPi9tlpoJLMrWkdjdnd-UukjawAuOymrgPmc2vQw
Qiu, P., Yang, Y., Zhang, J., & Ma, X. (2011). Rural-to-urban migration and its implication for new cooperative medical scheme coverage and utilization in China. BMC Public Health, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-11-520
Qin, H. (2010). Rural-to-Urban Labor Migration, Household Livelihoods, and the Rural Environment in Chongqing Municipality, Southwest China. Human Ecology, 38(5), 675–690. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-010-9353-z
Quisumbing, A. R. (2005). Migration and the Rural-Urban Continuum: Evidence from the Rural Philippines. AgEcon Search. https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/59599/
Ruzima, M., & Veerachamy, P., (2015). A Study on Determinants of Inflation in Rwanda from 1970-2013. MPRA_paper_73222.pdf (uni-muenchen.de)
Schwarcz, P., Mura, L., Pätoprstý, M., & Schwarczová, L. (2012). The impact of employment in agriculture on overall employment and development: a case study of the district of Topol’čany, Slovakia. SEER, 15(4), 483–492. https://doi.org/10.5771/1435-2869-2012-4-483
Tangermann, S., & Heidhues, T. (1973). Inflation and agriculture in the EEC. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 1(2), 127–149. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/1.2.127
United Nations (1970). Manual IV Methods of Measuring Internal Migration. un_1970_manual_vi_-_methods_of_measuring_internal_migration_0.pdf
Wondimagegnhu, B. A. (2015). Staying or Leaving? Analyzing the Rationality of Rural-Urban Migration Associated with Farm Income of Staying Households: A Case Study from Southern Ethiopia. Advances in Agriculture, 2015, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/617373
Zhang, S., Deng, W., Peng, L., Zhou, P., & Liu, Y. (2020). Has Rural Migration Weakened Agricultural Cultivation? Evidence from the Mountains of Southwest China. Agriculture, 10(3), 63. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture10030063
Zhang, K. H., & Song, S. (2003). Rural–urban migration and urbanization in China: Evidence from time-series and cross-section analyses. China Economic Review, 14(4), 386–400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2003.09.018